Short Term Weather Forecast -- Issue number 2 on weather in late June and early July

The weather in June can be clearly seen with rains, rains and heavy rains, up until the time 1800HKT on the date 21st June, 2005, the total rainfall of the month is 420.7 mm, this number have already exceeded the average rainfall of the whole month, in which the total rainfall of a normal June is around 376 mm.

This abnormal weather is the result of the abnormality in the SouthWest monsoon. Within the raining season so far, the SouthWest monsoon have been stronger then normal, and the situation is expected to continue until the end of the month, and the total rainfall of this month is expected at around 650 to 750 mm.

Traditionally, the first week of July is seen as a " fine spell " and the weather of this week is typically good. This year, as the Tibetian High is building up, and is expected to be built by the end of the month. Hence, there are good chances that the first week of July is in good weather. Yet, the chance of showers run high as the sub-tropical ringe is still relatively weak at the moment, despite the fact that the sub-tropical ringe is strengthening in this few days.

果然係落隻貓,落隻狗呀下 ......

以下係一個大口狗警報 :

HKG01 HKDW 091900
MSGID/GENADMIN/FOREST WOOD HONG KONG HI/JDWC//
SUBJ/DOG BARKING WARNING//
RMKS/
1. BARKING DOG 01D (BIG MOUTH DOG) WARNING NR 001 (FINAL WARNING) 
   01 ACTIVE BARKING DOG IN HONG KONG 
   MAX SUSTAINED SOUND BASED ON ONE-BARK AVERAGE 
    --- 
   WARNING POSITION: 091900HKT9 --- NEAR 22.18N3 114.10E7 
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - ALMOST STATIONARY (140 DEGREE 0.3KT) 
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 001 NM 
     POSITION BASED ON INFORMATION PROVIDED BY BIG MOUTH DOG 
   PRESENT BARK DISTRIBUTION: 
   MAX SUSTAINED BARK - 120 dB, GUSTS 140 dB 
   BARKING TOWARDS FOREST WOOD 
   RADIUS OF 100 dB BARKS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 
                                                001 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 
                                                001 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 
                                                005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 
   RADIUS OF 050 dB BARKS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 
                                                004 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 
                                                004 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 
                                                010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.18N3 114.10E7
    --- 
   FORECASTS: 
   12 HRS, VALID AT: 
   100700HKT8 --- 22.18N3 114.10E7 
   MAX SUSTAINED BARKS - 000 dB, GUSTS 020 dB 
   DUMBED
     ---  
REMARKS: 091900HKT8 POSITION NEAR 22.18N3 114.10E7.
BARKING DOG (BD) 01D (BIG MOUTH DOG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 001 NM AROUND YAU MA TEI, HONG KONG, HAS BEEN ALMOST STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT PHONE CALLS IMAGERY REVEALS A SERIOUS BARKING IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE TO FOREST WOOD DUE TO QUESTIONS IN APPLIED MATHEMATICS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT ANGRY HEIGHT AT 091900 IS 360 DEGREE CELSIUS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING FROM THE JOINT DOG WARNING CENTER, THE CENTER WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THE BIG MOUTH DOG FOR ANY SIGNS OF RE-BARKING.//

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Reference : 一份由聯合颱風中心出的熱帶氣旋警報

WTPN31 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (NESAT) WARNING NR 041
    01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
     ---
    WARNING POSITION:
    090600Z5 --- NEAR 28.2N2 137.1E2
      MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
      POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
      POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
    PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
    BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                                   025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                                   080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N2 137.1E2
     ---
    FORECASTS:
    12 HRS, VALID AT:
    091800Z8 --- 29.5N6 138.3E5
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
    BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                                   060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
     ---
    24 HRS, VALID AT:
    100600Z7 --- 31.4N8 140.1E6
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
    BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
    RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                                   050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                                   035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
     ---
    36 HRS, VALID AT:
    101800Z0 --- 34.1N8 143.1E9
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
    EXTRATROPICAL
     ---
REMARKS:
090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 28.5N5 137.4E5.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (NESAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 465 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS AN EROSION OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5, 092100Z2, 100300Z4 AND 100900Z0.//

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